
Insights Into Why Oil Prices Will Drop Long-Term
Long Term Oil & Gas Trends
As other energy sources expand, oil will provide 31.5% of U.S. energy needs in 2040, compared to 36.6% in 2011.SOURCE: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013
As other sources of energy become viable substitutes in certain industries, energy consumers will become less ans less dependent on it.
As production grew and demand fell, the U.S. has been a net exporter of finished petroleum products since 2011.SOURCE: EIA, Petroleum Monthly
We will de dependent on emerging markets to continue to grow to support the amount of production our refineries are producing of finished petroleum products.
NATURAL GAS DEMAND
Growing supplies of less expensive natural gas are leading to more heavy truck operators – 20% of national fuel consumption – switching to vehicles that operate with compressed natural gas
Households are switching from oil to natural gas to heat their homes to save money. Since 2008, households using heating oil declined from 8.4 million to 6.9 million, according to EIA.
As the Shale boom continues, the U.S.will have an abundance of natural gas. Manufacturing facilities, fleet vehicles and households are viable options as end consumers for natural gas. It will not be until the U.S. has the from multiple ports in Maryland, Louisiana, Texas and Oregon will we see the U.S become the global leader in exporting LNG.Once this happens we will see foreign consumers pay up to 3 times what we are getting in the U.S for natural gas.